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SS15/16 – Solvency II: Monitoring model drift and standard formula SCR reporting for firms with permission to use an internal model

AI Analysis

Executive Summary

SS15/16 establishes the PRA's expectations for UK insurance firms using approved internal models to calculate their Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR), requiring them to maintain the ability to calculate SCR using the standard formula and submit standard formula SCR calculations for regulatory monitoring purposes. This guidance is critical because it ensures capital requirements remain reflective of actual firm risks and protects policyholder security by preventing model drift—where internal models diverge from underlying risk realities over time.

What Changed

  • The supervisory statement introduces several core regulatory expectations:
  • Internal Model Maintenance Requirement: Firms with approved internal models must maintain the capability to calculate SCR using the standard formula, even if they primarily use internal models for capital calculations.
  • Standard Formula SCR Reporting: Firms using approved internal models to calculate solo SCR are expected to report standard formula SCR results privately to the PRA on an annual basis.
  • Model Drift Monitoring Framework: The PRA uses model drift ratios calculated at model approval and re-based following material changes in risk profile or major model changes to monitor whether internal models remain appropriate.
  • Submission Format and Timing: Standard formula SCR information must be submitted through XBRL-enabled Excel files or full XBRL format, four weeks following firms' annual quantitative reporting template submission dates. As of the September 2025 updat
  • Audit and Approval Requirements: Standard formula calculations do not require external audit but must be approved by senior management before submission.

Suggested Considerations

  • *Maintain Dual Calculation Capability: Preserve the technical ability to calculate SCR using the standard formula, regardless of internal model approval status.
  • *Establish Annual Reporting Process: Implement procedures to calculate and submit standard formula SCR results annually through XBRL-enabled Excel or full XBRL format via BEEDS portal.
  • *Integrate into Risk Management: Incorporate standard formula SCR calculations into own risk and solvency assessment (ORSA), risk management, and model validation cycles.
  • *Obtain Senior Management Approval: Ensure standard formula submissions are reviewed and approved by appropriately authorized senior management before submission.
  • *Maintain Supporting Documentation: Retain quantitative and qualitative documentation supporting standard formula calculations to demonstrate appropriateness for model drift monitoring purposes.
  • *Monitor Model Drift Ratios: Track model drift ratios using objective measures of risk (standard formula SCR, pre-corridor MCR, net written premium, and best estimate liabilities) to identify material divergences.

Key Dates

25 October 2016
- Original SS15/16 publication
31 December 2018
- Document updated (referenced in original guidance)
September 2025
- Most recent update to SS15/16 published, clarifying expectations for firms with material non-life technical provisions
30 September 2026 DEADLINE
- Implementation deadline for liquidity reporting rules (related Solvency II development)
Four weeks after annual quantitative reporting submission DEADLINE
- Deadline for standard formula SCR reporting

Compliance Impact

Urgency: HIGH

Who is Affected

UK solo insurance firms within Solvency II scope with approved internal modelsUndertakings where solo SCR is calculated by a group internal modelThe Society of Lloyd's in respect of each syndicateFirms receiving outputs from the Lloyd's internal modelComposite insurers with material non-life technical provisions (as per 2025 update)

AI-generated analysis. May contain errors or omissions — verify with the original PRA source before acting. Full disclaimer.

Summary

Supervisory Statement 15/16

Relevant Firm Types

Insurance
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